UPDATED: 04-09-26 09:31 PDT

women Lake Erie 2
  
Lake Erie             
W-L: ( 1-12) PR = 70.3191

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 214 A Lincoln Memorial South Atlanti ( 6- 8, 81.9) 6-18 219 H Daemen East Coast ( 7- 3, 83.8) 1-16 303 H Davenport GLIAC ( 8- 5, 83.4) 2-22 307 A Wheeling Mountain East ( 5- 6, 80.7) 2-25 318 H Ashland Great Midwest ( 9- 4, 89.4) 0-23 320 H Lees-McRae Carolinas ( 1- 8, 71.8) 18-17 322 H Tiffin Great Midwest ( 5- 5, 78.8) 6-20 325 A Walsh Great Midwest ( 5- 5, 81.3) 4-19 328 A Malone Great Midwest ( 5- 2, 80.1) 9-17 401 H Northwood Great Midwest ( 2- 8, 75.0) 7-13 403 H Findlay Great Midwest ( 6- 6, 82.3) 5-17 407 A D'Youville East Coast ( 5- 6, 82.2) 3-19 408 H Edinboro PSAC ( 1- 9, 74.3) 5-14 411 A Ursuline Great Midwest ( 0- 8, 66.7) 416 A Thomas More Great Midwest ( 0-11, 75.4)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   214 A Lincoln Memorial        6-18     -12   -12           0.00
   219 H Daemen                  1-16     -15   -13           0.00
   303 H Davenport               2-22     -20   -13           0.00
   307 A Wheeling                2-25     -23   -11           0.00
   318 H Ashland                 0-23     -23   -19           0.00
   320 H Lees-McRae             18-17       1    -1    +      2.07
   322 H Tiffin                  6-20     -14    -8           0.00
   325 A Walsh                   4-19     -15   -11           0.00
   328 A Malone                  9-17      -8   -10           0.00
   401 H Northwood               7-13      -6    -4          -0.77
   403 H Findlay                 5-17     -12   -12           0.00
   407 A D'Youville              3-19     -16   -12           0.00
   408 H Edinboro                5-14      -9    -4          -1.45

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 H Lees-McRae             18-17       1    -1    +      2.07

Lake Erie Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Adelphi Adelphi   Adelphi
Alabama-Huntsville Alabama-Huntsville insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Alabama-Huntsville
American International American International   American International
Anderson (SC) Anderson (SC) insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Anderson (SC)
Ashland Ashland Ashland  
Assumption Assumption   Assumption
Barton Barton tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Barton
Belmont Abbey Belmont Abbey tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Belmont Abbey
Bentley Bentley   Bentley
Bloomsburg Bloomsburg   Bloomsburg
Bridgeport Bridgeport   Bridgeport
Caldwell Caldwell   Caldwell
Catawba Catawba tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Catawba
Charleston Charleston Charleston   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Chestnut Hill Chestnut Hill insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Chestnut Hill
Chowan Chowan   Chowan
Coker Coker insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Coker
Colorado Mesa Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Colorado-Colorado Spring Colorado-Colorado Spring   Colorado-Colorado Spring
Concordia-St Paul Concordia-St Paul insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Concordia-St Paul
Converse Converse tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Converse
CSU-Pueblo CSU-Pueblo   CSU-Pueblo
D'Youville D'Youville D'Youville  
Daemen Daemen Daemen  
Davenport Davenport Davenport  
Davis & Elkins Davis & Elkins Davis & Elkins   2- 1 vs 0- 3
District of Columbia District of Columbia tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) District of Columbia
Dominican (CA) Dominican (CA)   Dominican (CA)
Dominican (NY) Dominican (NY)   Dominican (NY)
East Stroudsburg East Stroudsburg   East Stroudsburg
Edinboro Edinboro Edinboro  
Embry-Riddle Embry-Riddle   Embry-Riddle
Emmanuel (GA) Emmanuel (GA)   Emmanuel (GA)
Emory & Henry Emory & Henry insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Emory & Henry
Felician Felician   Felician
Findlay Findlay Findlay  
Flagler Flagler   Flagler
Florida Southern Florida Southern   Florida Southern
Florida Tech Florida Tech   Florida Tech
Fort Lewis Fort Lewis   Fort Lewis
Franklin Pierce Franklin Pierce insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Franklin Pierce
Frostburg State Frostburg State insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Frostburg State
Gannon Gannon Gannon   3- 3 vs 0- 6
Georgian Court Georgian Court   Georgian Court
Grand Valley State Grand Valley State insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Grand Valley State
Holy Family Holy Family   Holy Family
Indiana (PA) Indiana (PA) Indiana (PA)   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Indianapolis Indianapolis Indianapolis   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Kutztown Kutztown   Kutztown
Lander Lander   Lander
Lee Lee insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Lee
Lees-McRae Lake Erie Lake Erie  
Lenoir-Rhyne Lenoir-Rhyne insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Lenoir-Rhyne
Lewis Lewis Lewis   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Limestone Limestone   Limestone
Lincoln Memorial Lincoln Memorial Lincoln Memorial  
Lock Haven Lock Haven Lock Haven   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Lynn Lynn   Lynn
Malone Malone Malone  
Mars Hill Mars Hill   Mars Hill
Maryville Maryville insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Maryville
McKendree McKendree McKendree   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Mercy Mercy   Mercy
Millersville Millersville   Millersville
Missouri Western Missouri Western   Missouri Western
Molloy Molloy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Molloy
Montevallo Montevallo   Montevallo
Mount Olive Mount Olive tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Mount Olive
New Haven New Haven   New Haven
Newberry Newberry   Newberry
North Greenville North Greenville tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) North Greenville
Northern Michigan Northern Michigan Northern Michigan   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Northwood Northwood Northwood  
Pace Pace   Pace
Palm Beach Atlantic Palm Beach Atlantic   Palm Beach Atlantic
Post Post   Post
Quincy Quincy insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Quincy
Regis (CO) Regis (CO)   Regis (CO)
Roberts Wesleyan Roberts Wesleyan   Roberts Wesleyan
Rockhurst Rockhurst   Rockhurst
Rollins Rollins   Rollins
Saginaw Valley State Saginaw Valley State insuffient: ( 0- 4)( 1- 3) Saginaw Valley State
Seton Hill Seton Hill insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Seton Hill
Shepherd Shepherd insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Shepherd
Shippensburg Shippensburg insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Shippensburg
Shorter Shorter tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Shorter
Slippery Rock Slippery Rock Slippery Rock   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Southern Connecticut Southern Connecticut   Southern Connecticut
Southern New Hampshire Southern New Hampshire insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Southern New Hampshire
Southern Wesleyan Southern Wesleyan tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Southern Wesleyan
St Anselm St Anselm insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) St Anselm
St Leo St Leo   St Leo
St Michaels St Michaels tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) St Michaels
St Thomas Aquinas Lake Erie tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lake Erie
Tampa Tampa insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Tampa
Thomas Jefferson Thomas Jefferson   Thomas Jefferson
Thomas More Thomas More tied - ( 0- 6) ( 0- 6) Thomas More
Tiffin Tiffin Tiffin  
Tusculum Tusculum insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Tusculum
Ursuline Lake Erie insuffient: ( 1- 6)( 0- 7) Lake Erie
UVA Wise UVA Wise insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) UVA Wise
Virginia State Virginia State tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Virginia State
Walsh Walsh Walsh  
West Chester West Chester   West Chester
West Virginia Wesleyan Lake Erie tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lake Erie
Westminster (UT) Westminster (UT)   Westminster (UT)
Wheeling Wheeling Wheeling  
William Jewell William Jewell   William Jewell
Wilmington (DE) Wilmington (DE) insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Wilmington (DE)
Wingate Wingate   Wingate
Young Harris Young Harris   Young Harris

PowerWise = 4


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 11.04

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Lincoln Memori  ( 6- 8, 81.9)     6-18      -18.01      15.18       0.41         0.85           -14.94
   0 H Daemen          ( 7- 3, 83.8)     1-16      -16.12      17.07      -0.41         0.85           -14.03
   0 H Davenport       ( 8- 5, 83.4)     2-22      -16.46      16.73      -0.41         0.85           -14.32
   0 A Wheeling        ( 5- 6, 80.7)     2-25      -19.22      13.97       0.41         0.85           -15.97
   0 H Ashland         ( 9- 4, 89.4)     0-23      -10.48      22.71      -0.41         0.85            -9.24
   0 H Lees-McRae      ( 1- 8, 71.8)    18-17      -28.10       5.09      -0.41         0.85             3.97
   0 H Tiffin          ( 5- 5, 78.8)     6-20      -21.08      12.11      -0.41         0.85           -18.24
   0 A Walsh           ( 5- 5, 81.3)     4-19      -18.62      14.57       0.41         0.85           -15.46
   0 A Malone          ( 5- 2, 80.1)     9-17      -19.77      13.42       0.41         0.85           -16.44
   0 H Northwood       ( 2- 8, 75.0)     7-13      -24.94       8.25      -0.41         0.85           -21.52
   0 H Findlay         ( 6- 6, 82.3)     5-17      -17.60      15.59      -0.41         0.85           -15.28
   0 A D'Youville      ( 5- 6, 82.2)     3-19      -17.68      15.51       0.41         0.85           -14.66
   0 H Edinboro        ( 1- 9, 74.3)     5-14      -25.62       7.57      -0.41         0.85           -22.10
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -188.23

winning pts = 3.9742 losing points = -192.2010

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------