UPDATED: 05-22-26 09:18 PDT

women Lake Erie 2
  
Lake Erie             
W-L: ( 2-13) PR = 71.4725

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 214 A Lincoln Memorial South Atlanti ( 7-10, 83.4) 6-18 219 H Daemen East Coast ( 9- 6, 84.9) 1-16 303 H Davenport GLIAC ( 9- 9, 84.2) 2-22 307 A Wheeling Mountain East ( 8- 9, 82.5) 2-25 318 H Ashland Great Midwest (16- 5, 91.8) 0-23 320 H Lees-McRae Carolinas ( 1-10, 73.1) 18-17 322 H Tiffin Great Midwest (10- 7, 82.2) 6-20 325 A Walsh Great Midwest ( 6-10, 81.2) 4-19 328 A Malone Great Midwest ( 6- 5, 81.6) 9-17 401 H Northwood Great Midwest ( 2-12, 74.8) 7-13 403 H Findlay Great Midwest ( 9- 8, 83.0) 5-17 407 A D'Youville East Coast ( 6-10, 83.0) 3-19 408 H Edinboro PSAC ( 2-14, 76.7) 5-14 411 A Ursuline Great Midwest ( 0-11, 66.2) 13- 2 416 A Thomas More Great Midwest ( 3-13, 78.0) 7-24

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   214 A Lincoln Memorial        6-18     -12   -12           0.00
   219 H Daemen                  1-16     -15   -13           0.00
   303 H Davenport               2-22     -20   -12           0.00
   307 A Wheeling                2-25     -23   -12           0.00
   318 H Ashland                 0-23     -23   -20           0.00
   320 H Lees-McRae             18-17       1    -1    +      2.10
   322 H Tiffin                  6-20     -14   -10           0.00
   325 A Walsh                   4-19     -15   -10           0.00
   328 A Malone                  9-17      -8   -11           0.00
   401 H Northwood               7-13      -6    -3    -     -2.14
   403 H Findlay                 5-17     -12   -11           0.00
   407 A D'Youville              3-19     -16   -12           0.00
   408 H Edinboro                5-14      -9    -5          -0.28
   411 A Ursuline               13- 2      11     5           0.21
   416 A Thomas More             7-24     -17    -7           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Northwood               7-13      -6    -3    -     -2.14

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 H Lees-McRae             18-17       1    -1    +      2.10

Lake Erie PairWisePlus Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Adelphi Adelphi   Adelphi
Alabama-Huntsville Alabama-Huntsville Alabama-Huntsville   1- 0 vs 0- 1
American International American International   American International
Anderson (SC) Anderson (SC) Anderson (SC)   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Ashland Ashland Ashland  
Assumption Assumption   Assumption
Barton Barton tied -  1- 0 Barton
Belmont Abbey Belmont Abbey tied -  1- 0 Belmont Abbey
Bentley Bentley   Bentley
Bloomsburg Bloomsburg   Bloomsburg
Bridgeport Bridgeport   Bridgeport
Caldwell Caldwell   Caldwell
Catawba Catawba tied -  0- 1 Catawba
Charleston Charleston Charleston   4- 1 vs 0- 5
Chestnut Hill Chestnut Hill Chestnut Hill   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Chowan Chowan   Chowan
Coker Coker Coker   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Colorado Mesa Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Colorado-Colorado Spring Colorado-Colorado Spring   Colorado-Colorado Spring
Concordia-St Paul Concordia-St Paul Concordia-St Paul   1- 1 vs 0- 2
Converse Converse tied -  1- 0 Converse
CSU-Pueblo CSU-Pueblo   CSU-Pueblo
D'Youville D'Youville D'Youville  
Daemen Daemen Daemen  
Davenport Davenport Davenport  
Davis & Elkins Davis & Elkins Davis & Elkins   3- 1 vs 1- 3
District of Columbia Lake Erie tied -  0- 2 Lake Erie
Dominican (CA) Dominican (CA)   Dominican (CA)
Dominican (NY) Dominican (NY)   Dominican (NY)
East Stroudsburg East Stroudsburg   East Stroudsburg
Edinboro Edinboro Edinboro  
Embry-Riddle Embry-Riddle   Embry-Riddle
Emmanuel (GA) Emmanuel (GA) tied -  1- 0 Emmanuel (GA)
Emory & Henry Emory & Henry Emory & Henry   2- 1 vs 1- 2
Felician Felician   Felician
Findlay Findlay Findlay  
Flagler Flagler   Flagler
Florida Southern Florida Southern   Florida Southern
Florida Tech Florida Tech   Florida Tech
Fort Lewis Fort Lewis   Fort Lewis
Franklin Pierce Franklin Pierce Franklin Pierce   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Frostburg State Frostburg State Frostburg State   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Gannon Gannon Gannon   3- 3 vs 0- 6
Georgian Court Georgian Court   Georgian Court
Grand Valley State Grand Valley State Grand Valley State   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Holy Family Holy Family   Holy Family
Indiana (PA) Indiana (PA) Indiana (PA)   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Indianapolis Indianapolis Indianapolis   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Kutztown Kutztown   Kutztown
Lander Lander   Lander
Lee Lee Lee   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Lees-McRae Lake Erie Lake Erie  
Lenoir-Rhyne Lenoir-Rhyne Lenoir-Rhyne   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Lewis Lewis Lewis   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Limestone Limestone   Limestone
Lincoln Memorial Lincoln Memorial Lincoln Memorial  
Lock Haven Lock Haven Lock Haven   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Lynn Lynn   Lynn
Malone Malone Malone  
Mars Hill Mars Hill tied -  0- 1 Mars Hill
Maryville Maryville Maryville   1- 0 vs 0- 1
McKendree McKendree McKendree   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Mercy Mercy Mercy   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Millersville Millersville   Millersville
Missouri Western Missouri Western   Missouri Western
Molloy Molloy tied -  0- 2 Molloy
Montevallo Montevallo   Montevallo
Mount Olive Mount Olive tied -  1- 0 Mount Olive
New Haven New Haven   New Haven
Newberry Newberry Newberry   1- 0 vs 0- 1
North Greenville North Greenville North Greenville   2- 1 vs 1- 2
Northern Michigan Northern Michigan Northern Michigan   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Northwood Northwood Northwood  
Pace Pace   Pace
Palm Beach Atlantic Palm Beach Atlantic   Palm Beach Atlantic
Post Post   Post
Quincy Quincy Quincy   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Regis (CO) Regis (CO)   Regis (CO)
Roberts Wesleyan Roberts Wesleyan Roberts Wesleyan   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Rockhurst Rockhurst   Rockhurst
Rollins Rollins   Rollins
Saginaw Valley State Saginaw Valley State Saginaw Valley State   1- 3 vs 0- 4
Seton Hill Seton Hill Seton Hill   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Shepherd Shepherd Shepherd   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Shippensburg Shippensburg Shippensburg   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Shorter Shorter tied -  1- 0 Shorter
Slippery Rock Slippery Rock Slippery Rock   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Southern Connecticut Southern Connecticut   Southern Connecticut
Southern New Hampshire Southern New Hampshire Southern New Hampshire   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Southern Wesleyan Southern Wesleyan tied -  1- 0 Southern Wesleyan
St Anselm St Anselm St Anselm   1- 0 vs 0- 1
St Leo St Leo   St Leo
St Michaels St Michaels tied -  0- 1 St Michaels
St Thomas Aquinas Lake Erie tied -  0- 2 Lake Erie
Tampa Tampa Tampa   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Thomas Jefferson Thomas Jefferson   Thomas Jefferson
Thomas More Thomas More Thomas More  
Tiffin Tiffin Tiffin  
Tusculum Tusculum Tusculum   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Ursuline Lake Erie Lake Erie  
UVA Wise UVA Wise UVA Wise   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Virginia State Virginia State tied -  0- 1 Virginia State
Walsh Walsh Walsh  
West Chester West Chester   West Chester
West Virginia Wesleyan West Virginia Wesleyan tied -  0- 1 West Virginia Wesleyan
Westminster (UT) Westminster (UT)   Westminster (UT)
Wheeling Wheeling Wheeling  
William Jewell William Jewell   William Jewell
Wilmington (DE) Wilmington (DE) Wilmington (DE)   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Wingate Wingate Wingate   1- 0 vs 0- 1
Young Harris Young Harris   Young Harris

PairWisePlus = 4


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.05

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Lincoln Memori  ( 7-10, 83.4)     6-18      -16.46      17.27       0.51         1.07           -17.06
   0 H Daemen          ( 9- 6, 84.9)     1-16      -14.96      18.77      -0.51         1.07           -16.56
   0 H Davenport       ( 9- 9, 84.2)     2-22      -15.66      18.07      -0.51         1.07           -17.31
   0 A Wheeling        ( 8- 9, 82.5)     2-25      -17.43      16.30       0.51         1.07           -18.11
   0 H Ashland         (16- 5, 91.8)     0-23       -8.09      25.64      -0.51         1.07            -9.21
   0 H Lees-McRae      ( 1-10, 73.1)    18-17      -26.82       6.91      -0.51         1.07             6.85
   0 H Tiffin          (10- 7, 82.2)     6-20      -17.73      16.00      -0.51         1.07           -19.52
   0 A Walsh           ( 6-10, 81.2)     4-19      -18.66      15.07       0.51         1.07           -19.42
   0 A Malone          ( 6- 5, 81.6)     9-17      -18.30      15.43       0.51         1.07           -19.04
   0 H Northwood       ( 2-12, 74.8)     7-13      -25.06       8.67      -0.51         1.07           -27.37
   0 H Findlay         ( 9- 8, 83.0)     5-17      -16.92      16.81      -0.51         1.07           -18.66
   0 A D'Youville      ( 6-10, 83.0)     3-19      -16.86      16.87       0.51         1.07           -17.50
   0 H Edinboro        ( 2-14, 76.7)     5-14      -23.19      10.54      -0.51         1.07           -25.37
   0 A Ursuline        ( 0-11, 66.2)    13- 2      -33.73       1.00       0.51         1.07             1.62
   0 A Thomas More     ( 3-13, 78.0)     7-24      -21.92      11.81       0.51         1.07           -22.92
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -239.56

winning pts = 8.4633 losing points = -248.0273

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------