UPDATED: 09-08-25 10:43 PDT

women Lake Erie 2
  
Lake Erie             
W-L: ( 2-15) PR = 76.5522

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 207 H William Jewell GLVC ( 7- 9, 84.9) 3-12 226 H Lewis GLVC ( 6-10, 84.2) 8-22 228 A Daemen East Coast ( 5-11, 85.4) 2-15 306 H Saginaw Valley State GLIAC ( 0-13, 72.2) 18- 4 311 A Emmanuel (GA) Carolinas ( 8- 6, 86.7) 5-20 315 H Charleston Mountain East (12- 5, 84.1) 3-18 319 A Ashland Great Midwest (14- 5, 88.0) 3-21 321 H Davis & Elkins Mountain East ( 6-12, 78.3) 11-13 323 A Tiffin Great Midwest ( 8- 8, 79.8) 9-12 327 H Walsh Great Midwest ( 9- 9, 85.4) 2-20 331 H Malone Great Midwest ( 6- 7, 79.1) 7-13 402 H D'Youville East Coast ( 5- 9, 85.7) 8-20 404 A Northwood Great Midwest ( 5- 9, 77.8) 17-18 406 A Findlay Great Midwest ( 9-11, 83.4) 6- 8 409 A Edinboro PSAC ( 2-14, 76.1) 14-16 412 H Ursuline Great Midwest ( 0-10, 69.3) 18- 6 417 H Thomas More Great Midwest ( 5-14, 80.6) 7-13

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   207 H William Jewell          3-12      -9    -8           0.00
   226 H Lewis                   8-22     -14    -7           0.00
   228 A Daemen                  2-15     -13    -9           0.00
   306 H Saginaw Valley State   18- 4      14     5           0.12
   311 A Emmanuel (GA)           5-20     -15   -11           0.00
   315 H Charleston              3-18     -15    -7           0.00
   319 A Ashland                 3-21     -18   -12           0.00
   321 H Davis & Elkins         11-13      -2    -1          -0.84
   323 A Tiffin                  9-12      -3    -4           0.82
   327 H Walsh                   2-20     -18    -8           0.00
   331 H Malone                  7-13      -6    -2    -     -2.98
   402 H D'Youville              8-20     -12    -9           0.00
   404 A Northwood              17-18      -1    -2           0.79
   406 A Findlay                 6- 8      -2    -7    +      3.00
   409 A Edinboro               14-16      -2     0          -1.86
   412 H Ursuline               18- 6      12     8           0.00
   417 H Thomas More             7-13      -6    -3          -1.54

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 H Malone                  7-13      -6    -2    -     -2.98

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 A Findlay                 6- 8      -2    -7    +      3.00

Lake Erie Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Adelphi Adelphi   Adelphi
Alabama-Huntsville Alabama-Huntsville insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Alabama-Huntsville
American International American International tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) American International
Anderson (SC) Anderson (SC) insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Anderson (SC)
Ashland Ashland Ashland  
Assumption Assumption   Assumption
Barton Barton Barton   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Belmont Abbey Belmont Abbey insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Belmont Abbey
Bentley Bentley insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Bentley
Bloomsburg Bloomsburg   Bloomsburg
Bridgeport Bridgeport   Bridgeport
Caldwell Caldwell   Caldwell
Catawba Catawba   Catawba
Charleston Charleston Charleston  
Chestnut Hill Chestnut Hill   Chestnut Hill
Chowan Lake Erie   Lake Erie
Coker Lake Erie tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Lake Erie
Colorado Mesa Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Colorado-Colorado Spring Colorado-Colorado Spring insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Colorado-Colorado Spring
Concordia-St Paul Concordia-St Paul Concordia-St Paul   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Converse Converse tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Converse
CSU-Pueblo CSU-Pueblo tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) CSU-Pueblo
D'Youville D'Youville D'Youville  
Daemen Daemen Daemen  
Davenport Davenport Davenport   5- 0 vs 1- 4
Davis & Elkins Davis & Elkins Davis & Elkins  
District of Columbia Lake Erie tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Lake Erie
Dominican (CA) Dominican (CA) Dominican (CA)   6- 0 vs 1- 5
Dominican (NY) Dominican (NY) Dominican (NY)   2- 0 vs 0- 2
East Stroudsburg East Stroudsburg   East Stroudsburg
Edinboro Edinboro Edinboro  
Embry-Riddle Embry-Riddle   Embry-Riddle
Emmanuel (GA) Emmanuel (GA) Emmanuel (GA)  
Emory & Henry Lake Erie   Lake Erie
Felician Lake Erie   Lake Erie
Findlay Findlay Findlay  
Flagler Flagler   Flagler
Florida Southern Florida Southern   Florida Southern
Florida Tech Florida Tech   Florida Tech
Fort Lewis Fort Lewis insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Fort Lewis
Franklin Pierce Franklin Pierce tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Franklin Pierce
Frostburg State Frostburg State Frostburg State   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Gannon Gannon Gannon   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Georgian Court Georgian Court   Georgian Court
Grand Valley State Grand Valley State Grand Valley State   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Holy Family Holy Family   Holy Family
Indiana (PA) Indiana (PA) insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Indiana (PA)
Indianapolis Indianapolis Indianapolis   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Kutztown Kutztown   Kutztown
Lander Lander   Lander
Lee Lee   Lee
Lees-McRae Lees-McRae   Lees-McRae
Lenoir-Rhyne Lenoir-Rhyne   Lenoir-Rhyne
Lewis Lewis Lewis  
Limestone Limestone   Limestone
Lincoln Memorial Lincoln Memorial   Lincoln Memorial
Lock Haven Lock Haven Lock Haven   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Lynn Lynn   Lynn
Malone Malone Malone  
Mars Hill Lake Erie tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lake Erie
Maryville Maryville Maryville   4- 0 vs 0- 4
McKendree McKendree McKendree   4- 2 vs 1- 5
Mercy Mercy Mercy   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Millersville Millersville   Millersville
Missouri Western Missouri Western Missouri Western   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Molloy Molloy Molloy   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Montevallo Montevallo insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Montevallo
Mount Olive Mount Olive Mount Olive   2- 0 vs 0- 2
New Haven New Haven   New Haven
Newberry Newberry   Newberry
North Greenville North Greenville insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) North Greenville
Northern Michigan Northern Michigan Northern Michigan   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Northwood Northwood Northwood  
Pace Pace   Pace
Palm Beach Atlantic Palm Beach Atlantic   Palm Beach Atlantic
Post Lake Erie   Lake Erie
Quincy Quincy Quincy   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Regis (CO) Regis (CO)   Regis (CO)
Roberts Wesleyan Roberts Wesleyan Roberts Wesleyan   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Rockhurst Rockhurst Rockhurst   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Rollins Rollins   Rollins
Saginaw Valley State Lake Erie Lake Erie  
Seton Hill Seton Hill Seton Hill   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Shepherd Shepherd   Shepherd
Shippensburg Shippensburg   Shippensburg
Shorter Shorter tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Shorter
Slippery Rock Slippery Rock Slippery Rock   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Southern Connecticut Southern Connecticut   Southern Connecticut
Southern New Hampshire Southern New Hampshire   Southern New Hampshire
Southern Wesleyan Lake Erie tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lake Erie
St Anselm St Anselm St Anselm   2- 0 vs 0- 2
St Leo St Leo   St Leo
St Michaels St Michaels insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) St Michaels
St Thomas Aquinas Lake Erie tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Lake Erie
Tampa Tampa   Tampa
Thomas Jefferson Thomas Jefferson   Thomas Jefferson
Thomas More Thomas More Thomas More  
Tiffin Tiffin Tiffin  
Tusculum Tusculum insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Tusculum
Ursuline Lake Erie Lake Erie  
UVA Wise UVA Wise   UVA Wise
Virginia State Virginia State tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Virginia State
Walsh Walsh Walsh  
West Chester West Chester   West Chester
West Virginia Wesleyan Lake Erie tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) Lake Erie
Westminster (UT) Westminster (UT) insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Westminster (UT)
Wheeling Wheeling Wheeling   2- 1 vs 0- 3
William Jewell William Jewell William Jewell  
Wilmington (DE) Wilmington (DE)   Wilmington (DE)
Wingate Wingate   Wingate
Young Harris Young Harris Young Harris   2- 0 vs 0- 2

PowerWise = 12


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.16

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H William Jewell  ( 7- 9, 84.9)     3-12      -15.04      16.14      -0.55         0.95           -14.82
   0 H Lewis           ( 6-10, 84.2)     8-22      -15.66      15.52      -0.55         0.95           -15.41
   0 A Daemen          ( 5-11, 85.4)     2-15      -14.51      16.67       0.55         0.95           -13.27
   0 H Saginaw Valley  ( 0-13, 72.2)    18- 4      -27.67       3.51      -0.55         0.95             2.81
   0 A Emmanuel (GA)   ( 8- 6, 86.7)     5-20      -13.24      17.94       0.55         0.95           -12.06
   0 H Charleston      (12- 5, 84.1)     3-18      -15.78      15.40      -0.55         0.95           -15.53
   0 A Ashland         (14- 5, 88.0)     3-21      -11.90      19.28       0.55         0.95           -10.78
   0 H Davis & Elkins  ( 6-12, 78.3)    11-13      -21.63       9.55      -0.55         0.95           -21.09
   0 A Tiffin          ( 8- 8, 79.8)     9-12      -20.08      11.10       0.55         0.95           -18.56
   0 H Walsh           ( 9- 9, 85.4)     2-20      -14.47      16.71      -0.55         0.95           -14.28
   0 H Malone          ( 6- 7, 79.1)     7-13      -20.77      10.41      -0.55         0.95           -20.27
   0 H D'Youville      ( 5- 9, 85.7)     8-20      -14.18      17.00      -0.55         0.95           -14.00
   0 A Northwood       ( 5- 9, 77.8)    17-18      -22.11       9.07       0.55         0.95           -20.49
   0 A Findlay         ( 9-11, 83.4)     6- 8      -16.50      14.68       0.55         0.95           -15.16
   0 A Edinboro        ( 2-14, 76.1)    14-16      -23.76       7.42       0.55         0.95           -22.06
   0 H Ursuline        ( 0-10, 69.3)    18- 6      -30.64       1.00      -0.55         0.95             0.42
   0 H Thomas More     ( 5-14, 80.6)     7-13      -19.33      11.85      -0.55         0.95           -18.90
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -243.47

winning pts = 3.2361 losing points = -246.7035

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------